• 2019 September 11 16:41

    DNV GL releases Maritime Forecast to 2050


    DNV GL-Maritime has released the third edition of its Maritime Forecast to 2050 at London International Shipping Week 2019 (LISW). The forecast examines the future of the shipping industry in a rapidly changing global energy landscape. This year’s report focusses on the challenge of reducing the carbon intensity of the global fleet to meet the ambitious targets set by the imo’s greenhouse gas reduction (ghg) strategy.

    “Existing technology can deliver the future we desire – including meeting the 1.5°C target set out in the Paris Agreement,” said Remi Eriksen, Group President and CEO of DNV GL. “So far, support for the energy transition has been too sporadic. We need a broad and coordinated policy agenda that supports new technologies as they emerge and sustains that support through the build-out phase.”

    A combination of external market pressure and the ambitious direction set by IMO means that the challenge of decarbonization has been laid squarely on shipping’s doorstep. To answer the question of how shipping will rise to meet the challenge, this year’s Maritime Forecast examines how the world fleet measures up in terms of decarbonization and looks at different strategies and pathways the industry can take to reach this goal.

    The Maritime Forecast to 2050 analyses three regulatory scenarios (continuing under current policies, regulations becoming gradually stricter, or very strict regulations introduced towards the end of the 2050 deadline) and how these could affect the transition to low and carbon neutral fuels. Improvements in general energy efficiency in on-board operations is also included as an essential part of reducing emissions.

    “One of the key components to meet the decarbonization challenge is fuel flexibility, as the fuels of today may not be the fuels of tomorrow,” said Knut Ørbeck-Nilssen, CEO of DNV GL – Maritime. “This means having a picture of the entire fuel ecosystem is vital, as owners, operators, and the industry itself will have a much tougher time adapting to a low-carbon future if they are locked into a single choice.”

    Fuel flexibility and technologies to bridge changing fuel usage have been identified in the Forecast as essential strategies for both individual owners and the shipping industry to adapt to the energy transition and prepare for a low carbon future. In the deep-sea segment especially, dual-fuel solutions and alternative fuel “ready” solutions could smooth this transition, by laying the groundwork for a future retrofit. Combined with bridging technologies such as adaptable storage tanks, onboard systems and shore-side fuel infrastructure, this could give the industry more options as new fuels and technologies emerge.

    “Ships built today will have to compete with vessels coming onto the market in five, ten or 15 years’ time, and must consider future standards to remain competitive,” said Knut Ørbeck-Nilssen. “Considering the uncertain future that lies ahead, failing to be future-proof in the newbuilding phase could lead to that asset being stranded in the not so distant future. In addition, CO2 emissions could become an important rate differentiator and we have already seen forward-looking charterers start down this road.”

    The Forecast shows that the uptake of low-carbon and carbon-neutral fuels is essential to meeting IMO GHG goals, with carbon-neutral fuels having to supply 30–40% of the global fleet’s total energy by 2050. Under different regulatory pathways, however, the model predicts that a variety of fuels could come to the fore. In all of the pathways, liquefied methane (from both fossil and non-fossil sources) provides a large part (40–80%) of the fuel mix at 2050. The Forecast also suggests that in the deep-sea sector, ammonia, biodiesel, liquid biogas and electrofuels are promising carbon neutral options, with battery, hybrid, and hydrogen solutions being potential options for the short-sea segment.

    The ongoing energy transition is starting to reshape the shipping industry, with much uncertainty on the way to 2050. DNV GL’s Maritime Forecast to 2050 hopes to offer the industry a vision of the changes ahead, offering guidance, highlighting trends, and providing valuable insights for maritime stakeholders. The Maritime Forecast to 2050 is part of a suite of Energy Transition Outlook (ETO) reports produced by DNV GL. The ETO has designed, expanded and refined a model of the world’s energy system encompassing demand and supply of energy globally, and the use and exchange of energy between and within ten world regions.

    ABOUT DNV GL
    Driven by our purpose of safeguarding life, property and the environment, DNV GL enables organizations to advance the safety and sustainability of their business. We provide classification, technical assurance, software and independent expert advisory services to the maritime, oil & gas and energy industries. We also provide certification services to customers across a wide range of industries. Operating in more than 100 countries, our professionals are dedicated to helping our customers make the world safer, smarter and greener.

    ABOUT DNV GL – MARITIME
     DNV GL is the world’s leading classification society and a recognized advisor for the maritime industry. We enhance safety, quality, energy efficiency and environmental performance of the global shipping industry – across all vessel types and offshore structures. We invest heavily in research and development to find solutions, together with the industry, that address strategic, operational or regulatory challenges.




2019 September 16

18:04 Ports draw $5B investment, 12K jobs to Georgia
17:59 GOGL increases investment in Singapore Marine
17:50 Pella launched first serial trawler of Project 03095, Castor
17:25 Tenders on pilot projects for stevedoring company concessions in Olvia and Kherson ports officially announced
17:04 Vestdavit equips Norwegian Coast Guard’s next generation for Polar boat launch and recovery
16:29 USCG halts 2 illegal charters near Miami, Fort Lauderdale
16:04 Royal Caribbean to welcome first Quantum Ultra Class ship to North America
15:27 Boluda Towage Spain manoeuvres world’s largest container ship in port of Algeciras
15:04 Cargill and Maersk Tankers join forces in the Medium Range segment
14:10 Zvezda shipyard hosts keel-laying ceremony for third Aframax tanker for Rosnefteflot
13:39 Jotun transforms turnaround times for storage tanks with a new TankFast solution
13:16 North Sea Port starts testing more reliable lockage planning for scheduled services in the Terneuzen lock
12:42 Meyer Turku is moving the delivery of Costa Smeralda to November
12:18 AEC welcomes Guggenheim Partners Investment Management as Arctic Partner
11:55 Professional emergency response team of Kontur SPb LLC recommended to be certified for emergency response to oil spills
11:21 Workshop on ISPS Code for Designated Authority and Port Facility Security Officers held in Ghana
10:53 IMO continues work to promote ratification of international treaty covering wreck removal
10:29 GESAMP celebrates fifty years of service in ocean science
10:04 Busan Port Authority and Adani Ports & SEZ conclude MOU
09:50 Brent Crude futures price is up 9.96% to $66.22, Light Sweet Crude – up 8.61% to $59.52
09:32 Gazprom supports 3rd Conference “LNG Fleet and LNG Bunkering in Russia” as its General Sponsor
09:17 Baltic Dry Index is down to 2,312 points
09:08 Nyborg becomes 30th port to join the Cruise Baltic network
08:44 ECSA, INTERFERRY, EUDA and CLIA Europe welcome report on the evaluation of the Energy Taxation Directive
08:35 MABUX: Bunker Market this morning, Sept 16
08:00 Live webcast of NEVA 2019 zero-day conference begins at 10 am, September 16, on PortNews website

2019 September 15

15:47 M/V "SARA” refused access to the Paris MoU region
14:26 USCG assisted capsized USFSP sail students in St. Petersburg, Florida
12:02 World’s largest wind turbine blade test stand built by Siemens Gamesa
11:21 IMCA to introduce CPD scheme for diving supervisors
10:51 L3Harris Technologies delivers new advanced autonomous vehicle capability to UK’s Defence Science and Technology Laboratory

2019 September 14

15:29 Coast Guard reopens Houston Ship Channel after protest demonstration
13:39 Crondall Energy partners with Pharis Energy on innovative Pilot Field development
12:08 Prysmian's new cable-laying vessel Leonardo da Vinci scheduled for delivery in 2Q 2021
10:32 Woodside invests in emerging technology for seismic data acquisition

2019 September 13

18:06 Sture terminal situation normalised
17:47 Malaysia encourages gender diversity in the maritime industry
17:24 Multipurpose ship of Project MPSV12, Kalas, successfully completed sea trials
17:06 Frontline extends expiry date of first option for two Trafigura Suezmax tankers
16:30 ABP to welcome Royal Navy’s HMS Grimsby into Port of Grimsby
16:25 Wärtsilä Aquarius UV Ballast Water Management System chosen for retrofitting to four Korean vessels
16:05 Multi Modal Rail B.V. (MMR) launches rail service between Rotterdam and Ottmarsheim, France
15:48 ABP and WISTA UK host 'Women in Maritime' reception during LISW
15:09 Shearwater GeoServices awarded large South America survey
14:26 ABB enables emissions-free port stay in Marseille for Corsica Linea ferries
14:09 Start of the project “Dredging the Nieuwe Diep – Port of Den Helder”
13:45 First ever ABB electric propulsion to be installed on board a bulk carrier
13:20 Port of Oakland opens peak season with cargo volume growth
12:47 Throughput of port Kavkaz in 8M’2019 fell by 30% Y-o-Y to 22.35 million tonnes
12:09 MOL starts demonstration test of vessel image recognition system using AI technology on Nippon Maru
11:28 RS introduces new requirements into Part I of Rules for Classification and Construction of Sea-Going Ships
11:09 Rolls-Royce achieves 50th MT30 production milestone
10:42 In August, Klaipėda LNG Terminal regasified 1.4 times more gas than was consumed in the entire country
10:09 Port of Long Beach cargo volumes hit 663,992 TEUs in August 2019
10:04 Port Napier, NZ, places order for Damen ATD Tug 2412
09:51 Bunker market sees mixed price movements at the port of Saint-Petersburg, Russia (graph)
09:34 Brent Crude futures price is down 0.28% to $60.21, Light Sweet Crude – down 0.24% to $54.96
09:16 Baltic Dry Index is down to 2,331 points
09:10 Antwerp and Rotterdam Port Authorities ask new European Commission and Parliament to focus on the economic significance of ports
09:03 MABUX: Bunker market this morning, Sept 13