• 2019 May 23 09:10

    MABUX: Bunker market this morning, May 23

    The Bunker Review was contributed by Marine Bunker Exchange

    MABUX World Bunker Index (consists of a range of prices for 380 HSFO, 180 HSFO and MGO (Gasoil) in the main world hubs) decreased on May 22:

    380 HSFO - 417.00 (-2.21)
    180 HSFO - USD/MT – 464.64 (-2.00)
    MGO - USD/MT – 662.43 (-3.14)

    Meantime, world oil indexes also declined on May 22 as the prospect of mounting U.S.-Iran tensions disrupting supply was offset by concerns that a lengthy trade war between Washington and Beijing would limit crude demand.

    Brent for July settlement decreased by $1.19 to $70.99 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. West Texas Intermediate for July delivery fell by $1.71 to $61.42 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The Brent benchmark traded at the premium of 9.57 to WTI. Gasoil for June lost $12.50.

    Today morning oil indexes continue slight downward movement.

    Over the past week, oil prices have trended higher as concerns about escalating U.S.-Iran and Iran-Saudi standoffs have overshadowed bearish-side concerns about the U.S.-China trade war and slowing global economic growth. The rising tension in the Middle East and the critical oil tanker waterways in the region have had some forecasts return to talking about Brent Crude hitting US$80, US$90, or even US$100 a barrel, compared to the current level of around US$72 per barrel. JP Morgan, however, thinks that the return of the geopolitical risk premium in oil prices could be only for the short term, as U.S. shale production continues to grow, while global oil demand may falter amid uncertainties in the world’s economy.  

    OPEC+ reportedly discussed two options for increasing production in the second half of the year. The group weighed a plan that would end over-compliance with the cuts, which could add 0.8 million bpd of supply back onto the market. Or, the group could agree to trim the cuts from 1.2 to 0.9 million bpd. However, the group will wait until the June meeting in Vienna to make a decision, and many members are inclined to extend the cuts.

    President Trump said that any trade deal with China must skew in favor of the U.S. because of past trade actions by China. The message seems to lower odds of a breakthrough in the weeks ahead. Meanwhile, the Trump administration lifted steel tariffs on Mexico and Canada.

    U.S. Secretary of Energy Rick Perry said that a sanctions bill on the Nord Stream 2 pipeline would come in the not too distant future. Separately, Gazprom said that delays in getting permits from Denmark could push off the in-service date of the project into 2020 from late 2019.

     U.S. shale operators are on course to boost production by 16 percent this year. That could put output up 1.1 to 1.2 million bpd by the end of the year. Despite temporary challenges faced in the beginning of the year, E&P companies are set to deliver on their original production and capital targets, with some being well positioned to perform above initial expectations. Several operators have in fact raised their production guidance for the remainder of the year.

    We expect bunker prices will continue downward trend: 5-7 USD down for IFO, 9-12 USD down for MGO.

    MABUX World Bunker Index (consists of a range of prices for 380 HSFO, 180 HSFO and MGO (Gasoil) in the main world hubs) decreased on May 22:

    380 HSFO – 417.00 (-2.21)
    180 HSFO – USD/MT – 464.64 (-2.00)
    MGO – USD/MT – 662.43 (-3.14)

    Meantime, world oil indexes also declined on May 22 as the prospect of mounting U.S.-Iran tensions disrupting supply was offset by concerns that a lengthy trade war between Washington and Beijing would limit crude demand.

    Brent for July settlement decreased by $1.19 to $70.99 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. West Texas Intermediate for July delivery fell by $1.71 to $61.42 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The Brent benchmark traded at the premium of 9.57 to WTI. Gasoil for June lost $12.50.

    Today morning oil indexes continue slight downward movement.

    Over the past week, oil prices have trended higher as concerns about escalating U.S.-Iran and Iran-Saudi standoffs have overshadowed bearish-side concerns about the U.S.-China trade war and slowing global economic growth. The rising tension in the Middle East and the critical oil tanker waterways in the region have had some forecasts return to talking about Brent Crude hitting US$80, US$90, or even US$100 a barrel, compared to the current level of around US$72 per barrel. JP Morgan, however, thinks that the return of the geopolitical risk premium in oil prices could be only for the short term, as U.S. shale production continues to grow, while global oil demand may falter amid uncertainties in the world’s economy.  

    OPEC+ reportedly discussed two options for increasing production in the second half of the year. The group weighed a plan that would end over-compliance with the cuts, which could add 0.8 million bpd of supply back onto the market. Or, the group could agree to trim the cuts from 1.2 to 0.9 million bpd. However, the group will wait until the June meeting in Vienna to make a decision, and many members are inclined to extend the cuts.

    President Trump said that any trade deal with China must skew in favor of the U.S. because of past trade actions by China. The message seems to lower odds of a breakthrough in the weeks ahead. Meanwhile, the Trump administration lifted steel tariffs on Mexico and Canada.

    U.S. Secretary of Energy Rick Perry said that a sanctions bill on the Nord Stream 2 pipeline would come in the not too distant future. Separately, Gazprom said that delays in getting permits from Denmark could push off the in-service date of the project into 2020 from late 2019.

     U.S. shale operators are on course to boost production by 16 percent this year. That could put output up 1.1 to 1.2 million bpd by the end of the year. Despite temporary challenges faced in the beginning of the year, E&P companies are set to deliver on their original production and capital targets, with some being well positioned to perform above initial expectations. Several operators have in fact raised their production guidance for the remainder of the year.

    We expect bunker prices will continue downward trend: 5-7 USD down for IFO, 9-12 USD down for MGO.



2019 June 20

12:50 Gazprom Management Committee reviews progress of Nord Stream 2 and TurkStream projects
12:24 Bunker prices are flat at the Far East ports of Russia (graph)
12:01 CMA CGM announces GRR from Asia to West Africa
11:36 ReCAAP ISC and Indian Coast Guard co-hosting 12th Capacity Building Workshop for Maritime Law Enforcement and Regulatory Authorities
11:11 NCSP Group’s consolidated cargo turnover for Jan-Apr 2019 increased by 0.3% to 47.6 million tonnes
10:42 Amendments to be introduced to the Water Traffic Act
10:10 Tallink Grupp connects first two vessels to shore power at Port of Stockholm in a bid to reduce environmental impact
10:09 CMA CGM announces FAK rates from Asia to the Middle East Gulf
09:46 Brent Crude futures price is up 1.81% to $62.95, Light Sweet Crude – up 1.69% to $54.9
09:27 MABUX: Bunker market this morning, June 20
09:17 Baltic Dry Index is up to 1,179 points

2019 June 19

18:14 Port of Southampton signs sister port agreement with PortMiami
18:05 Unique Wärtsilä fresh water production system offers one ton per day fuel savings
17:51 Continued rail investment at the Port of Southampton accelerates air quality improvements
17:28 PGNiG confirms production potential of Poland’s largest gas field
17:03 IMRF announces new Board of Trustees
16:40 Small-size missile ship Orekhovo-Zuyevo, Black Sea Fleet, completes tasks in the Mediterranean Sea
16:02 Hapag-Lloyd announces GRI from Asia to East Coast South America
15:39 Vympel Shipyard launched first Grachonok-class special purpose boat for Federal National Guard Troops Service
15:02 Black Sea Mediterranean Express (BMX Service) Additional Gemlik Call
14:43 Baltic Workboats announces delivery of 100m fully electric ferry
14:21 RS participates in Global Fishery Forum
14:02 MOL and Japanese shipyards design Next Generation Coal carrier 'EeneX'
13:45 Igor Sharkov appointed Director of FESCO Branch Office in Vladivostok
13:26 FESCO opens seasonal transportation to ports of Chukotka
13:02 Van Oord awarded large contract for Mozambique LNG project
12:34 NIBULON Shipbuilding and Repair Yard starts constructing vessels of new project
12:12 ICS meets in Faroe Islands
11:58 Frigate Admiral Gorhskov of RF Navy's Northern Fleet sails through Panama Canal
11:37 Ship inspection platform Idwal urges investors to carry out due diligence on asset condition as standards decline
11:19 WMU signed MOU with Higher Institute of Maritime Studies, Morocco
11:12 Damen signs Phase II contract with International Organization for Migration for nine additional SAR 1906 search and rescue boats
10:55 ABB wins system package with Keppel for dredging contractor Van Oord
10:33 Lavna coal terminal to reach design capacity of 18 million tonnes in 2022
10:00 Bunker market sees mixed price movements at the port of Saint-Petersburg, Russia (graph)
09:38 MABUX: Bunker Market this morning, June 19
09:32 Brent Crude futures price is up 0.03% to $62.16, Light Sweet Crude – up 0.22% to $54.23
09:15 Baltic Dry Index is up to 1,135 points

2019 June 18

18:36 Spotlighting IMO's actions on climate change
18:31 Transborders Energy signs joint study agreement with Kyushu Electric Power for FLNG Solution
18:06 Kim Heng Offshore & Marine Holdings signs MoU with HHC and Thaitan
18:03 Container service boost at Bristol Port
17:53 IMO and UN Environment – working together to keep the Mediterranean clean
17:36 ZIM introduces myZIM Personal Notifications
17:21 Incat launches a new 111-metre ferry for Spain
17:06 Hapag-Lloyd announces General Rate increase from Japan to Middle East
16:42 Nor-Shipping 2019 sets new records
16:20 Fincantieri and CNR present the results of six multidisciplinary research projects
16:04 Atlantic Towing buys Havyard 833 WE – build no 126
15:25 Live stream of IWW passenger transportation meeting, part of SmartTRANSPORT, starts on IAA PortNews website at 10:00, June 21
15:04 Port of Oakland approves Seaport Air Quality 2020 and Beyond Plan
14:33 Carnival Mardi Gras cruise ship hull assembly begins at Meyer Turku shipyard
14:02 Hapag-Lloyd announces FAK from East Asia to Europe and Mediterranean
13:30 Port of Singapore bags “Best Seaport in Asia” for 31st time and also “Best Green Seaport”
13:02 Major shipping banks to launch the Poseidon Principles in line with IMO’s Greenhouse Gas strategy
12:41 Russia's Main Department of State Expertise approves revised project for Phase 1 of dry bulk terminal in Taman
12:28 Bunker prices show slight changes at the Far East ports of Russia (graph)
12:24 Jan De Nul secures Formosa 2 OWF contract in Taiwan and underlines its expansion in Asian OWFs
12:05 AtoB@C starts to offer port towage and related services in Port of Raahe
11:39 East-Siberian Inland Navigation Company launches bunkering tanker of Project RT37 for Baikal