• 2018 June 14 13:47

    Global fuel market is waiting for some clarity from the Vienna meeting next week, expert says

    The Bunker Review is contributed by Marine Bunker Exchange

    World oil indexes have had irregular changes with no firm trend during the week. Fuel market is looking into the global supply and demand picture to guess where the prices of oil and fuel are heading. Some are focusing on the loss of supply from Venezuela and a potential reduction of Iranian exports to justify the view that prices will be heading higher. Others are figuring that OPEC will reverse some of the production cuts in place and bring back as much as 1 million bpd to the market to offset any supply disruptions.

    MABUX World Bunker Index (consists of a range of prices for 380 HSFO, 180 HSFO and MGO at the main world hubs) added some points in the period of Jun.07 – June 14, but it is still too early to talk about any firm trend:
        
    380 HSFO - up from 427.79 to 429,86 USD/MT (+2.07)
    180 HSFO - up from 469.00 to 471,79 USD/MT (+2.79)
    MGO        - up from 669.57 to 678.71 USD/MT (+9.14)

    The markets shrugged at the historic meeting between President Trump and North Korean dicta-tor Kim Jong Un. Both sides hailed the summit as a breakthrough, with a pledge towards denuclearization, but as expected, there was a lack of even the most basic details on how they might get there. According to a report by the Korean Central News Agency (KCNA), Trump expressed his intention to halt U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises, offer security guarantees to the North and lift sanctions against it as relations improve. However, it seems that the summit had yielded only symbolic results and nothing essential.

    OPEC’s efforts to erase the oil glut and lift oil prices paid off as the cartel reaped higher revenues from crude oil exports in 2017. But the rewards from the cuts were not evenly split among the cartel’s members. The biggest percentage gain in the value of petroleum exports was recorded in Libya (up 61 percent on the year to US$15 billion). The second was Qatar (up 55 percent to US$35.5 billion) and The United Arab Emirates (UAE) was the third. The higher oil prices also helped most of the OPEC members (in particular Saudi Arabia, Libya, Venezuela, and Qatar) to improve their current account balances last year.

    Meantime, OPEC emphasized the deep uncertainty over the strength of demand for its oil just a week before contentious talks on whether to raise production. There’s a wide forecast range for how much crude the OPEC needs to pump in the second half of the year. With a range of 1.7 million barrels a day between the upper and lower estimates, demand could either be significantly higher, or slightly below, than OPEC’s current output.

    Besides, opposition to an increase in the OPEC/non-OPEC production limits continues to grow, with Iraq coming out against such a move. OPEC’s second largest producer said that the production cuts have not yet achieved the intended objective of balancing the oil market. The statement of opposition comes after Iran and Venezuela also called upon the group to keep the limits in place.

    The U.S. reportedly asked Saudi Arabia for higher oil production to offset Iranian outages, a request that was made before the U.S. withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal. The apparent sudden shift in the Saudi position shortly after the conversation has annoyed a lot of OPEC members.  The comments raise the possibility of a contentious meeting in Vienna.

    Venezuela has begun testing seaborne oil transfers to ease a severe backlog of crude deliveries from its main terminals, as delays and production declines could temporarily halt state-run PDVSA’s supply contracts if they are not cleared soon. The delivery method entails specialized equipment and training and higher costs for ship owners and customers. Tankers waiting to load more than 24 million barrels of crude. Venezuela’s crude exports fell 6 percent in May to 1.168 million bpd while Venezuela’s crude exports in the first five months of 2018 were 27 percent lower than in the same period of 2017.

    Meantime, Russia’s oil production (the world’s biggest) had risen to 11.1 million bpd in early June, up from slightly below 11 million bpd in most of May and well above its target production of under 11 million bpd as part of the deal.

    The European Union has vowed to maintain the Iran nuclear deal despite the U.S. decision to exit, and Brussels has pushed back against Washington’s attempts to penalize European companies from doing business with Iran. However, some European companies have already begun cutting business ties with the Islamic Republic. Iran in turn said that it would ramp up work on its nuclear program if the EU is unable to offer enough security to ensure European companies can continue to operate in Iran.

    The estimates for how much Iranian oil U.S. sanctions will impact ranges. But the mass flight of top American and European companies, and the early signs of a significant decline in purchases from refiners around the world, plus the difficulty in finding shipping and insurance, all suggests that the supply disruptions could potentially be at the higher end.

    The number of new rigs drilling for oil in the United States rose by one last week to 862, its highest since March 2015. That suggests that U.S. crude output, already at a record high of 10.9 million barrels per day will climb further, which will continue to put downward pressure on fuel prices.

    China’s May crude oil imports eased away from a record high hit the month before. May shipments were 39.05 million tonnes, or 9.2 million barrels per day (bpd). That compared with 9.6 million bpd in April.

    We expect that bunker prices will likely change irregular over the next week until the fuel market gets some clarity from the Vienna meeting.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    All prices stated in USD / Mton
    All time high Brent = $147.50 (July 11, 2008)
    All time high Light crude (WTI) = $147.27 (July 11, 2008)




2018 June 25

08:23 MOL in exclusive discussions to utilize "MOL FSRU Challenger" for Hong Kong Offshore LNG Terminal Project

2018 June 24

09:52 Bulk Terminals 2018 to be held in Hamburg on Tuesday 23 – Wednesday 24 October
09:50 JAXPORT issues JACKSONVILLE harbor deepening information
09:48 GTT receives the «Most sustainable service provider» award

2018 June 23

09:44 Port of Long Beach announces $16.8 million project to build infrastructure to support zero-emissions cargo-handling equipment
09:43 CMA CGM announces FAK rates from Asia to Red Sea
09:40 Prosafe wins further work for Safe Swift in the Mediterranean Sea
09:35 Costa Cruises celebrates float out of its first ship for China market

2018 June 22

18:24 Shareholders of Volga Shipping Company approve reorganization
18:05 Port of Los Angeles gives $1 million in grants to 30 local organizations
17:50 Denis Khramov appointed as Deputy Minister of Natural Resources
17:29 RF Government approves resignation of Victor Olersky
17:06 TTS Group ASA secures new contracts for RoRo equipment to China
16:05 CMA CGM announces GRR from India to East Africa
15:51 LUKOIL-Bulgaria Bunker starts operating the Bellona tanker at the port of Constanta, Romania
15:34 Port of Rotterdam Authority, DSM, AkzoNobel Specialty Chemicals, FrieslandCampina, Suikerunie, Gasunie, Groen Gas Nederland, ECN, Energy Academy Europe make recommendations for the smarter use of biomass
14:50 Construction works commence in Tallinn Old City Harbour's Terminal D where Tallink ferries are served
14:27 IMO rolls out ferry safety video
14:03 India to make Chabahar Port in Iran operational by 2019
13:38 First shipbroking companies to join SEA\LNG coalition
13:00 Vympel Shipyard delivers 50th fast patrol boat of Project 12150 Mangust to Russian FSB Border Service
12:36 LUKOIL will pay dividends for 2017 in the amount of RUB 130 per ordinary share
12:12 REMPEC hosts regional workshop on response to HNS spills in Valletta, Malta
11:49 IMO regional workshop to address the impacts of fouling
11:25 Ukraine’s water transport carried 0.1 million passengers in 5M’18, up 17.3%, Y-o-Y
11:03 Ulstein announces naming of the Acta Auriga
10:28 “M/V “VASILIY TATISCHEV ” with IMO number 8885157 refused access to the Paris MoU region for the second time
10:21 Brent Crude futures price up 1.15% to $73.79, Light Sweet Crude – up 1.25% to $66.36
10:00 Cargo transportation by Ukraine’s water transport fell by 10.5% to 1.5 million tonnes in 5M’18
09:38 Yevgeny Pankratov appointed as Director of FSUE Rosmorport’s Sakhalin Branch
09:19 Baltic Dry Index down to 1,347 points

2018 June 21

18:27 Diana Shipping announces time charter contract for m/v Philadelphia with Koch
18:00 CMA CGM announces new rotation on ASAF service
17:56 Russia is in need of small bunkering tankers, LNG bunker supply ships and bunker barges - Damen
17:31 Gate terminal (Gasunie/Vopak) to increase ship loading flow rate
16:58 Antwerp blockchain pilot pioneers with secure and efficient document workflow
16:24 Freeport of Riga Authority joins Cruise Lines International Association
16:02 Danaos Corporation announces comprehensive debt refinancing agreement
15:50 MABUX: All eyes are on what course of action OPEC will call for
15:40 12 LNG bunker supply ships to be put into operation in Singapore by 2025
15:02 Ship garbage recycling pilot wraps up at Port of Brisbane
14:39 Vyborg Shipyard launches port icebreaker Ob built for FSUE Atomflot
14:02 APM Terminals supports World Clean Air Day with App upgrade
13:41 Igor Zolotykh appointed as Harbour Master of port Ust-Luga
13:23 Victor Olersky appoints Igor Ishchenko as Harbour Master of port Primorsk
13:02 EU member states’ experts on ship recycling meet in Brussels
12:39 XI Russian Forum “Current State and Prospects for Development of Russian Bunker Services Market” opens in Saint-Petersburg
12:16 ABS issues industry-leading Guide advancing DC power for hybrid electric applications
12:00 Largest gantry crane in the Nordic countries delivered to Meyer Turku
11:57 HVCC Hamburg Vessel Coordination Center and the Rotterdam Port Authority launch unique cooperation
10:55 CMA CGM to acquire CONTAINERSHIPS, a leader in intra-regional transportation in Northern Europe
10:53 Protecting marine life from ship noise is in the focus of meeting on oceans and the law of the sea
10:28 Brent Crude futures price up 0.41% to $75.41, Light Sweet Crude – down 0.59% to $65.3
10:02 Maritime officials in Morocco undergo training at IMO workshop in Casablanca
09:41 Closer look at the interpretation of maritime law
09:19 Baltic Dry Index down to 1,373 points

2018 June 20

18:00 Lead landing ship of Project 11711, Ivan Gren, joins the fleet of RF Navy
17:33 Rosatomflot extends its winter-spring navigation period amid challenging ice conditions
17:05 Genco Shipping & Trading Limited completes common stock offering
16:05 Seatruck Ferries to use larger vessels for Warrenpoint service